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Post by permatiltx on Aug 3, 2006 17:37:32 GMT -5
It's that time again...what's going to rule the BO this weekend?
With three films trying to grab the same audience, will they cancel each other out, or will one rise above? Will Physical Therapy have a strong showing as the only counterprogrammed title out there? Not to mention, Eyes of the Dragon is still out there...
A lot to think about...
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Post by spencer101f on Aug 3, 2006 20:36:54 GMT -5
1 Redstar-$35
2 Eyes of the Dragon-$30
3 Prophet-$20
4 Transfer of Power-$18
5 Family Guy Moive-$15
6 Not-So Blind-$10
7 Physical Therapy-$8
8 Love Lost-$5
9 4% Famous-$4
10 One Size Fits All-$3
*will be edited*
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Post by geekfreek000 on Aug 3, 2006 23:46:28 GMT -5
It's a tricky week to predict. All 4 movie can't be big hits, something has to disappoint at least a little bit.
Redstar - $40-45M
Prophet - $20M
Transfer of Power - $17M
Physical Therapy - $8M
I really think Redstar will do well. I can't see it doing anything less than $40M. It's Prophet and Transfer of Power that are going to be struggling to pick up what's left over. Like I said before, it really sucks that that's the case because they all sound like good movies. Physical Therapy should make back its budget and a little extra over the course of its run.
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Post by permatiltx on Aug 4, 2006 15:08:36 GMT -5
Yes, the weekend is a hard one to predict this week...though with the poll and the theater count, and the fact that it does skew toward a young audience, I think Redstar should have a great start. It could be anywhere from $40 - 60M, but I think I'm going to say $48M start to be the most likely.
Next comes the battle between Prophet and Transfer of Power...These two are definitely going for similar audiences...However, Prophet's theater count may be what helps it here...I expect a solid $28M start for it, followed by a $20M start for Transfer
I'm seeing a decent start for Physical Therapy, due to its only competition is The Not-So-Blind. It's low screen count will prevent a huge weekend, so I'd say $10M
The Not-So-Blind won't fall off too bad...a 40% drop will see $14M...San Francisco Midnight may see the usual decline for a horror film, around 55%, which will give it a $8M weekend, as 4% Famous and One Size Fits All will ride some decent buzz with $7M and $5M respectively...
1. Redstar - $48.2M
2. Prophet - $27.5M
3. Transfer of Power - $19.9M
4. The Eyes of the Dragon - $15.1M
5. THe Not-So Blind - $14.3M
6. Physical Therapy - $10.4M
7. The Family Guy Movie - $9.7M
8. Love Lost - $7.5M
9. 4% Famous - $6.8M
10. Tourists - $6.4M
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